A Comparative Study on the Behavior of Islamic and Conventional Stocks in the Presence of Oil Price, Gold Price, and Financial Risk Factors: Evidence from Dow Jones Indices
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.47067/ramss.v2i2.35Keywords:
Gold Prices, Financial Risk, Oil Prices, Dow Jones Islamic StockAbstract
The research aims to analyze the influence of the gold price, oil price and financial risk on Islamic and conventional securities on comparative as well as on individual bases. Monthly prices of oil and gold are extracted from the websites of West Texas Intermediate and World Gold Council, whereas time series data for financial risk is derived from the Volatility Index of S&P 500. All these variables are found to be cointegrated at the first difference with both the Dow Jones indices, which means that gold, oil and financial risk have long term association with Islamic and conventional stocks. In order to find the direction and magnitude, this study applied the Newey-West HAC test, which also handles autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity issues in the time series data. The findings of the study suggest that gold prices are positively associated whereas oil prices and financial risk are negatively associated with both types of securities. Though the direction of the nexus is similar for Islamic and conventional stocks, but the magnitude differs especially in case of oil and financial risk. Nevertheless, it can be concluded that there is no diversification prospect between conventional and Islamic stocks under the influence of oil prices, financial risk, and gold prices.
References
Abdullah, A. M., Saiti, B., & Masih, M. (2016). The impact of crude oil price on Islamic stock indices of South East Asian countries: Evidence from MGARCH-DCC and wavelet approaches. Borsa Istanbul Review, 16(4), 219-232.
Al-Ameer, M., Hammad, W., Ismail, A., & Hamdan, A. (2018). The Relationship of Gold Price with the Stock Market: The Case of Frankfurt Stock Exchange. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 8, 357–371.
Anyalechi, K., Ezeaku, H., Onwumere, J., & Okereke, E. J. (2019). Does Oil Price Fluctuation Affect Stock Market Returns in Nigeria? International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 9, 194–199. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.7145
Badeeb, R. A., & Lean, H. H. (2018). Asymmetric impact of oil price on Islamic sectoral stocks. Energy Economics, 71, 128–139. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2017.11.012
Basher, S. A., & Sadorsky, P. (2016). Hedging emerging market stock prices with oil, gold, VIX, and bonds: A comparison between DCC, ADCC and GO-GARCH. Energy Economics, 54, 235–247. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2015.11.022
Bhunia, A., & Das, A. (2012). Association between gold prices and stock market returns: Empirical evidence from NSE. Journal of Exclusive Management Science, 1(2), 1-7.
Bhunia, A., & Mukhuti, S. (2013). The impact of domestic gold price on stock price indices-An empirical study of Indian stock exchanges. Universal Journal of Marketing and Business Research, 2(2), 35-43.
Beckmann, J., Berger, T., & Czudaj, R. (2015). Does gold act as a hedge or a safe haven for stocks? A smooth transition approach. Economic Modelling, 48, 16–24.
Bredin, D., Conlon, T., & Potì, V. (2015). Does gold glitter in the long-run? Gold as a hedge and safe haven across time and investment horizon. International Review of Financial Analysis, 41, 320-328
Caporale, G. M., Ali, F. M., & Spagnolo, N. (2015). Oil price uncertainty and sectoral stock returns in China: A time-varying approach. China Economic Review, 34, 311-321.
Dutta, A., Nikkinen, J., & Rothovius, T. (2017). Impact of oil price uncertainty on Middle East and African stock markets. Energy, 123, 189-197.
Ghosh, S., Kanjilal, K. (2016), Co-movement of international crude oil price and Indian stock market: Evidences from nonlinear cointegration tests. Energy Economics, 53, 111-117.
Gaur, A. and Bansal, M. (2010), “A comparative study of gold price movements in indian and global markets”, Indian Journal of Finance, 4(2), 32-37.
Haque, S.M., & Wani, A.A. (2015). Relevance of Financial Risk with Financial Performance: An Insight of Indian Banking Sector. Pacific Business Review International, 8(5)
Henriques, I., & Sadorsky, P. (2008). Oil prices and the stock prices of alternative energy companies. Energy Economics, 30(3), 998–1010.
Huang, R. D., Masulis, R. W., Stoll, H. R., (1996) “Energy shocks and financial markets.” Journal of Futures Markets 16, 1-27.
Hussin, M. Y. M., Muhammad, F., Razak, A. A., Tha, G. P., & Marwan, N. (2013). The link between gold price, oil price and Islamic stock market: Experience from Malaysia. Journal of Studies in Social Sciences, 4(2).
Isaac Mwaurah, D. W. (2017). The Influence of Financial Risk on Stock Returns. International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications,7(5),2250-3153.
Jawaid, S. T., & Saleem, S. M. (2017). Foreign capital inflows and economic growth of Pakistan. Journal of Transnational Management, 22(2), 121-149.
Kang, W., Ratti, R. A., & Yoon, K. H. (2015). The impact of oil price shocks on the stock market return and volatility relationship. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 34, 41-54.
Kassim, S. (2013). The Global Financial Crises and the Integration of Islamic Stock Markets in Developed and Developing Countries. Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting&Finance9,75-94.
Maghyereh, A. I., Abdoh, H., & Awartani, B. (2019). Connectedness and hedging between gold and Islamic securities: A new evidence from time-frequency domain approaches. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 54, 13–28.
Mehri, A.B. (2015). The Effects of Financial Risks on the Relationship between Earnings and Stock Returns. International Journal of Organizational Leadership, 4, 154-169
Mensi, W., Hammoudeh, S., Reboredo, J. C., & Nguyen, D. K. (2014). Do global factors impact BRICS stock markets? A quantile regression approach. Emerging Markets Review, 19, 1-17.
Musiega, M. (2016). Influence of Financial Risk on Stock Return of Non-Financial Firms Listed on Nairobi Securities Exchange. International Journal of Business and Management Invention, 5, 66–77.
Narayan, P. K., Phan, D. H. B., & Sharma, S. S. (2019). Does Islamic stock sensitivity to oil prices have economic significance? Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 53, 497–512.
Raza, N., Shahzad, S. J. H., Tiwari, A. K., & Shahbaz, M. (2016). Asymmetric impact of gold, oil prices and their volatilities on stock prices of emerging markets. Resources Policy, 49, 290-301.
Salisu, A. A., & Isah, K. O. (2017). Revisiting the oil price and stock market nexus: A nonlinear Panel ARDL approach. Economic Modelling, 66, 258-271.
Sarwat, S., Kashif, M., Ahmed, F., & Aqil, M. (2019). Determination of Causality in the Prices of Crude Oil. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 9(4).





